Tesla Powerwall Savings Calculator
Will a home battery pay for itself? Model time-of-use shifting, storing your own solar instead of exporting it cheaply, battery wear and rising ratesprices โ then weigh the result against what backup power is worth to you.
Savings, year 1
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Simple payback
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15-year net value
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Return (IRR)
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Cumulative cash flow
Net cost up front, then yearly savings (incl. backup value)Where a day's value comes from
Backup on a full charge
Annual savings by year
Rates rise, capacity fadesWhat if you installed more or fewer?
Same home, rates and solarYear by year
How this is calculated
- Usable capacity = 13.5 kWh per Powerwall, shrinking by the capacity-loss rate each year. Output is capped at 11.5 kW per unit over the peak window.
- Peak shifting: the battery covers your on-peak use up to its capacity. Energy charged from the grid is worth peak rate โ off-peak rate รท efficiency per kWh delivered.
- Solar self-use (UK): about 45% of your peak-rate use is assumed to happen in daylight and is covered directly by solar, so the battery only shifts the rest. When your SEG export rate is higher than the off-peak rate, solar is worth more exported, so the battery is filled from cheap overnight power instead. Stored solar is only used when export pays less than off-peak.
- Solar self-use: we assume about half your off-peak use happens while the sun is up and is covered directly; the rest of your production is surplus. Stored surplus is worth peak rate โ export credit รท efficiency when used on-peak, and off-peak rate โ export credit รท efficiency when it covers night-time use with leftover capacity.
- Backup value = outages ร hours covered (capped by how long the battery runs your essential load) ร your value per hour.
- Payback is when cumulative savings pass the net cost. IRR is the discount rate that makes 15 years of savings worth exactly the net cost; NPV discounts at your chosen rate. Values after year 10 assume the battery keeps working past Tesla's 10-year warranty.
Why doesn't solar make the battery pay back faster?
In the UK, overnight tariffs are so cheap (around 7โ8p) that filling the battery from the grid is often better than storing your own solar, especially when a good SEG rate pays you 12โ15p for exports. Solar still saves you money on its own; it just doesn't add much to the battery's case. On a low export rate (4โ5p) stored solar becomes worth more โ try it in the export field.
What about export tariffs that pay more in the evening?
Some suppliers offer tariffs that pay a high rate for exporting in the late afternoon and evening, which lets a battery earn money by selling stored energy. This calculator doesn't model battery export trading, so treat it as a conservative estimate if you plan to use one of those tariffs.
Why do the numbers look so different with and without solar?
Without solar, a battery earns only the gap between peak and off-peak prices, minus round-trip losses โ often 10โ20ยข per kWh. With solar on a low export credit, every stored kWh avoids buying power at the full retail price while giving up only a few cents of export credit. That gap is what makes batteries pencil out under net-billing plans.
Does this model daily cycling realistically?
It assumes the battery runs one full shifting cycle every day of the year. Cloudy weeks, battery reserve settings (many people keep 20โ30% for backup) and plans with weekday-only peaks reduce real savings โ lower the solar production or peak share to be conservative.
How should I value backup?
Think about what a power cut costs you: freezer contents, a day's lost work at home, medical equipment, a boiler that needs electricity to run. UK power cuts are infrequent, so for most homes backup adds only a little to the case โ set outages to zero to see the pure tariff savings.
How should I value backup?
Think of what an outage costs you: spoiled food, a hotel night, lost work, medical devices, a sump pump. If you'd otherwise buy a standby generator, its installed cost is a useful comparison for the backup-only value of a battery.